Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: Canada’s June CPI year-on-year rate fell from 3.2% to 2.8%; the core CPI year-on-year rate also declined from 2.2% to 2.1%. Focus Insight: Canada’s inflation has peaked and started to decline, with core inflation returning to near 2%. This creates potential room for the Bank of Canada to continue […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: The latest round of tensions between the U.S. and Iran enters its ninth day, as Iran launched a strong counterattack on U.S. military bases over the weekend, resulting in two deaths and several people missing. Focus Analysis: We believe the only scenarios that could substantially escalate the situation are […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: South Korea’s stock market decline weighed on global tech stocks, with U.S. tech-related shares broadly falling overnight, sending the Nasdaq down more than 1%. Focus Analysis: The core contradiction behind this round of South Korean stock sell-off remains on the long side’s deleveraging—margin calls triggered by credit financing and […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: U.S. June PPI dropped sharply, falling from a previous reading of 6.5% and an expected 6.2% to 5.5%, a significant decline of 1%. Focus Insight: The sharp drop in PPI and the CPI data have resonated with each other, further confirming that U.S. inflation has peaked and is declining. […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: U.S. June CPI year-on-year dropped significantly, from a prior reading of 4.2% and an expected 3.8% to 3.5%; the decline in core CPI also exceeded expectations, falling to 2.6% from a previous 2.9% and an expected 2.8%. Focus Analysis: While a peak in CPI was foreseeable, the final data […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated last night that if core inflation remains high, the Fed would have to consider tightening monetary policy. Immediately afterward, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike at the next meeting rose above 50%. Focus Analysis: Oil prices have dropped nearly 20–25% from above $100; […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: In response to continuous attacks by the United States, Iran retaliated against U.S. military targets in neighboring countries and reannounced the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Focus Analysis: Geopolitical tensions are escalating, but the current situation is unlikely to reach the same level as in April and May. […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: U.S. officials say technical-level talks with Iran are still ongoing, and the United States remains committed to seeking solutions. Iran must never acquire nuclear weapons. Focus Analysis: U.S. officials’ statements suggest the actual bottom line of American positions—meaning, as previously mentioned, there is a high likelihood that the situation […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: The U.S. launched a new round of airstrikes against Iran and revoked an exemption allowing it to sell oil globally, further endangering the peace agreement between the two sides following a surge in attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Focus Analysis: The resumption of conflict between the […]
Market Focus Analysis: Pulse Focus 1: The U.S. June ISM non-manufacturing PMI edged down to 54, in line with expectations, from a previous reading of 54.5. Focus Insight: Supported by the World Cup factor, the latest U.S. services data showed no strong performance, reflecting market weakness. The figures also align with last week’s ADP and […]